Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 13.818190 16.083483 18.549097 21.425014 24.680007 28.242215 32.427916
2025-08-17 9.674410 12.677593 16.282036 20.892591 26.595592 33.378210 42.010743
2025-08-24 7.228423 10.429756 14.584476 20.295391 27.853413 37.415575 50.314503
2025-08-31 5.493472 8.629417 12.985988 19.353446 28.270356 40.139352 56.920488
2025-09-07 4.646796 7.846820 12.554362 19.792847 30.406156 45.119526 66.709735
2025-09-14 3.989932 7.201357 12.178554 20.188070 32.419105 49.988468 76.611070
2025-09-21 3.313040 6.388515 11.405825 19.844269 33.241599 53.144462 84.224811
2025-09-28 2.734007 5.626169 10.585849 19.288407 33.624282 55.603870 90.901372
2025-10-05 2.582225 5.590991 10.954024 20.674645 37.141414 62.992945 105.383128
2025-10-12 2.403407 5.471078 11.149630 21.770260 40.250136 69.922918 119.547416
2025-10-19 2.137210 5.131825 10.900931 22.051028 41.998528 74.778674 130.715726
2025-10-26 1.877539 4.758010 10.533539 22.065144 43.265455 78.899938 140.905890
2025-11-02 1.578149 4.264175 9.909543 21.616635 43.827405 82.137482 150.294416
2025-11-09 1.313488 3.796806 9.278352 21.097373 44.249675 85.237950 159.797739
2025-11-16 1.086991 3.365936 8.651243 20.498012 44.448044 87.941612 168.782192
2025-11-23 0.875672 2.917731 7.906453 19.548374 43.859445 89.168513 175.240235
2025-11-30 0.785297 2.771977 7.825930 19.991692 46.031995 95.525236 191.099746
2025-12-07 0.703791 2.630899 7.732617 20.390367 48.138491 101.880703 207.299103
2025-12-14 0.596608 2.383172 7.333513 20.043579 48.663580 105.271498 218.258333
2025-12-21 0.496945 2.128860 6.870750 19.482869 48.670446 107.643751 227.432594
2025-12-28 0.486340 2.171774 7.207969 20.881165 53.029451 118.785594 253.699269
2026-01-04 0.464246 2.168783 7.417845 21.986234 56.821776 129.006034 278.687537
2026-01-11 0.416564 2.058499 7.306347 22.269415 58.790392 135.666819 297.130638